Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.002482 0.002631 0.002791 0.002975 0.003185 0.003416 0.003694
2025-05-04 0.002315 0.002527 0.002768 0.003065 0.003430 0.003871 0.004461
2025-05-11 0.002156 0.002401 0.002691 0.003067 0.003557 0.004197 0.005143
2025-05-18 0.002078 0.002356 0.002697 0.003161 0.003803 0.004711 0.006223
2025-05-25 0.001970 0.002260 0.002626 0.003139 0.003882 0.005003 0.007066
2025-06-01 0.001865 0.002159 0.002535 0.003077 0.003890 0.005180 0.007775
2025-06-08 0.001824 0.002134 0.002542 0.003148 0.004100 0.005729 0.009493
2025-06-15 0.001779 0.002101 0.002532 0.003191 0.004272 0.006255 0.011579
2025-06-22 0.001711 0.002032 0.002467 0.003143 0.004283 0.006475 0.013058
2025-06-29 0.001647 0.001964 0.002398 0.003083 0.004263 0.006626 0.014504
2025-07-06 0.001593 0.001909 0.002344 0.003040 0.004267 0.006831 0.016471
2025-07-13 0.001509 0.001807 0.002219 0.002876 0.004032 0.006441 0.015413
2025-07-20 0.001473 0.001774 0.002193 0.002876 0.004112 0.006839 0.019038
2025-07-27 0.001460 0.001771 0.002213 0.002951 0.004349 0.007727 0.029617
2025-08-03 0.001427 0.001739 0.002188 0.002948 0.004432 0.008251 0.043291
2025-08-10 0.001418 0.001741 0.002212 0.003034 0.004715 0.009553 0.150126
2025-08-17 0.001385 0.001706 0.002179 0.003013 0.004761 0.010102 4.937604
2025-08-24 0.001346 0.001661 0.002128 0.002956 0.004715 0.010283 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001336 0.001659 0.002142 0.003021 0.004969 0.011926 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001321 0.001648 0.002144 0.003061 0.005172 0.013630 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001290 0.001613 0.002103 0.003017 0.005149 0.014100 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001259 0.001575 0.002058 0.002961 0.005089 0.014311 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001232 0.001544 0.002022 0.002921 0.005067 0.014789 NaN